Part of Puducherry Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Resolves Jun 15, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
75.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 61.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$70.48
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
77%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
39%
Spread
73.00% (18961bps)
Depth
$70
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 15, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) | 41.0% | Trade |
the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) | 38.5% | Trade |
the Indian National Congress (INC) | 27.5% | Trade |
the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) | 18.0% | Trade |
the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) | 10.5% | Trade |
the Communist Party of India (CPI) | 8.5% | Trade |
the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) | 5.0% | Trade |
Party F | - | Trade |
Party K | - | Trade |
Party M | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
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