Part of Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

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polymarket
Resolves Mar 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
5.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$489.18
Liquidity
$546.45
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
7%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.5%
Spread
4.80% (13714bps)
Depth
$546
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after
82.5%Trade
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's
12.0%Trade
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after
3.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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