Part of Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?

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polymarket
Resolves Feb 5, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
1.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$135.99
Liquidity
$1,263.21
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.0%
Spread
0.10% (952bps)
Depth
$1.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 5, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
no change
79.5%Trade
a decrease
20.5%Trade
an increase
1.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight interbank interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Mexico's February 2026 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/politica-monetaria/d/%7B3B4BDA5B-E7E8-E414-2066-DA0CB3F7C36F%7D.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their February meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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