Part of Bank of Russia decision in March?

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?

Rank #14904·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 20, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
91.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 43.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3.30
Liquidity
$6,410.51
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
86%

Market Microstructure

Mid
57%
Spread
68.00% (11930bps)
Depth
$6.4k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 20, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
decrease
57.0%Trade
make no change to
44.0%Trade
increase
42.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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