Part of Trump's year: Bear (nightmare) case?

Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?

Rank #12160·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Jan 7, 2028 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 86.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$376.04
Liquidity
$1,273.98
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
32%

Market Microstructure

Mid
15%
Spread
2.00% (1333bps)
Open Interest
2,498 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 7, 2028
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
the bear case for Trump occur in
16.0%Trade
the bear case for Trump occur in
-Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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