Part of What day will the Brown Shooter be arrested?

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 28?

Rank #6452·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$26,329.91
Liquidity
$4,006.31
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.50%
Spread
0.80% (16000bps)
Depth
$4.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
not be arrested in 2025
99.2%Trade
be arrested on December 30
0.5%Trade
be arrested on December 28
0.5%Trade
be arrested on December 29
0.4%Trade
be arrested on December 26
0.3%Trade
be arrested on December 27
0.2%Trade
be arrested on December 25
0.1%Trade
be arrested on December 31
0.1%Trade
be arrested on December 17
-Trade
be arrested on December 19
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the next listed date (ET) on which any individual is arrested in direct connection with the December 13th Brown University mass shooting. Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the shooting itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest If no qualifying arrest occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Arrest in 2025”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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