Part of Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Rank #10836·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Apr 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,802.06
Liquidity
$3,589.69
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.20%
Spread
0.20% (10000bps)
Depth
$3.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Apr 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA)
57.5%Trade
Fidesz – Hungarian Civic Alliance (Fidesz)
39.5%Trade
the Democratic Coalition (DK)
0.3%Trade
the Momentum Movement (Momentum)
0.3%Trade
Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk)
0.3%Trade
Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd)
0.3%Trade
the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP)
0.2%Trade
LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP)
0.2%Trade
the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP)
0.2%Trade
Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik)
0.2%Trade

Resolution Rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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