Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Rank #11798·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
65.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 35.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,264.71
Liquidity
$1,533.88
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
71%

Market Microstructure

Mid
65%
Spread
1.00% (155bps)
Depth
$1.5k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 89 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2026 release is published. If no release is published by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

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