Part of #1 song on US Spotify this week? (January 2)
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Rank #8846·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
97.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 5.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$287.26
Liquidity
$1,068.29
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
11%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
95%
Spread
5.00% (529bps)
Depth
$1.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift | 94.5% | Trade |
Last Christmas - Wham | 0.4% | Trade |
All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey | 0.4% | Trade |
Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee | 0.3% | Trade |
Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande | 0.3% | Trade |
Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms | 0.3% | Trade |
It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year - Andy Williams | 0.3% | Trade |
The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole | 0.3% | Trade |
Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! - Dean Martin | 0.2% | Trade |
Song A | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.
This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled January 2.
If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled January 2 by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
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