Part of What bills will be enacted in 2025?
Will the Guidance Clarity Act of 2025 (S.81) be signed into law by December 31 2025?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
17.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.6%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$33,351.24
Liquidity
$64.92
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
19%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
9.4%
Spread
17.00% (18085bps)
Depth
$65
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Guidance Clarity Act of 2025 (S.81) | 9.4% | Trade |
GENIUS Act (S. 394) | 4.5% | Trade |
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions and Other Matters Act (S.2882) | 3.8% | Trade |
Sanctioning Russia Act of 2025 (S.1241) | 2.9% | Trade |
Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) | 0.8% | Trade |
War Powers Resolution on Iran (H.Con.Res.38) | 0.4% | Trade |
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act (H.R.5371) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the bill listed is signed into law by the President of the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A bill will only qualify if it receives the President’s signature and becomes law through the normal legislative process. Vetoed bills, bills passed only by one chamber, or those that fail to reach the President’s desk, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Congress.gov or the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if ambiguity arises.
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