Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Rank #3749·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
10.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$185,978.49
Liquidity
$13,482.61
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
19%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
9.5%
Spread
1.00% (1053bps)
Depth
$13.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM CET. The fire must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle's official website, or a consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If the Gävle Goat is destroyed by other means this will not qualify.
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