Part of Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on January 1?

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on January 1?

Rank #15683·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
6.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$33.33
Liquidity
$81.79
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
8%

Market Microstructure

Mid
4.0%
Spread
4.00% (10000bps)
Depth
$82
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Aires be 31°C
27.0%Trade
Aires be 32°C
24.5%Trade
Aires be 30°C
23.0%Trade
Aires be 33°C
15.5%Trade
Aires be 29°C or below
15.0%Trade
Aires be 34°C
7.5%Trade
Aires be 35°C or higher
4.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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