Part of Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on December 31?

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 45°C on December 31?

Rank #15283·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
44.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 77.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$34.99
Liquidity
$58.22
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
45%

Market Microstructure

Mid
23%
Spread
43.00% (19111bps)
Depth
$58
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Aires be 40°C or below
51.0%Trade
Aires be 41°C
49.5%Trade
Aires be 42°C
48.5%Trade
Aires be 43°C
46.5%Trade
Aires be 44°C
41.5%Trade
Aires be 45°C
22.5%Trade
Aires be 46°C or higher
0.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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