Part of Highest temperature in NYC on December 25?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on December 25?

Rank #4582·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 25, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 100.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,243.98
Liquidity
$27,046.35
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.10%
Spread
0.00% (0bps)
Depth
$27.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 25, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
44°F or higher
97.0%Trade
between 42-43°F
4.0%Trade
between 40-41°F
2.1%Trade
between 38-39°F
0.4%Trade
between 36-37°F
0.2%Trade
33°F or below
0.1%Trade
between 34-35°F
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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