Part of Highest temperature in NYC on December 27?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 27?

Rank #14708·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 27, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
45.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 66.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$90.00
Liquidity
$193.63
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
67%

Market Microstructure

Mid
34%
Spread
23.00% (6866bps)
Depth
$194
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 27, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 32-33°F
46.0%Trade
between 30-31°F
33.5%Trade
between 34-35°F
20.0%Trade
between 28-29°F
7.0%Trade
36°F or higher
6.0%Trade
between 26-27°F
0.7%Trade
25°F or below
0.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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