Part of Highest temperature in Seattle on December 31?

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on December 31?

Rank #15283·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
44.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 76.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$38.33
Liquidity
$49.73
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
47%

Market Microstructure

Mid
24%
Spread
41.00% (17447bps)
Depth
$50
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 42-43°F
51.0%Trade
between 44-45°F
51.0%Trade
between 46-47°F
50.5%Trade
between 48-49°F
47.5%Trade
41°F or below
23.5%Trade
between 50-51°F
11.5%Trade
52°F or higher
2.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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