Part of Highest temperature in Seoul on January 1?

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C or below on January 1?

Rank #15683·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
2.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$151.00
Liquidity
$354.22
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
3%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.5%
Spread
1.00% (6667bps)
Depth
$354
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Seoul be -3°C
32.5%Trade
Seoul be -4°C
26.5%Trade
Seoul be -2°C
19.0%Trade
Seoul be -5°C
16.0%Trade
Seoul be -1°C or higher
12.5%Trade
Seoul be -6°C
3.0%Trade
Seoul be -7°C or below
1.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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