Part of Highest temperature in Toronto on December 26?

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on December 26?

Rank #11019·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 26, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
3.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$61.50
Liquidity
$140.26
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.1%
Spread
3.60% (17143bps)
Depth
$140
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 26, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Toronto be -5°C
47.0%Trade
Toronto be -3°C
34.5%Trade
Toronto be -2°C
22.0%Trade
Toronto be -4°C
18.5%Trade
Toronto be -1°C or higher
15.5%Trade
Toronto be -6°C
2.1%Trade
Toronto be -7°C or below
2.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%