Will the Houston Texans be the number 1 seed in the AFC?

Q: NFL AFC #1 Seed - Will the Houston Texans be the number 1 seed in the AFC?

Current market consensus shows a 1% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jan 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

0.9%0.0% (24h)

NO: 99.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$139.01

Liquidity

$468.14

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

0.55%

Spread

0.70% (12727bps)

Depth

$468

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 4, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
the New England Patriots	48.5%	Trade
the Denver Broncos	35.0%	Trade
the Jacksonville Jaguars	32.1%	Trade
the Los Angeles Chargers	4.5%	Trade
the Buffalo Bills	2.9%	Trade
the Houston Texans	0.5%	Trade
another team	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular season record in the 2025-2026 NFL American Football Conference (AFC). This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2025- 2026 NFL regular season with the best regular season record in the AFC. If multiple teams are tied for the best record in the AFC in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed in the AFC for the 2026 NFL Playoffs. A list of the NFL’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL.

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