Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?

Q: NFL Worst Team - Will the Las Vegas Raiders finish with the worst record in the NFL?

Current market consensus shows a 38% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 10, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

37.8%0.0% (24h)

NO: 75.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$462.41

Liquidity

$595.71

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

49%

Market Microstructure

Mid

25%

Spread

26.60% (10857bps)

Depth

$596

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 10, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
New York Giants	50.8%	Trade
Tennessee Titans	26.8%	Trade
Las Vegas Raiders	24.5%	Trade
New York Jets	12.5%	Trade
Cleveland Browns	5.1%	Trade
Buffalo Bills	-	Trade
Miami Dolphins	-	Trade
New England Patriots	-	Trade
Cincinnati Bengals	-	Trade
Pittsburgh Steelers	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes with the worst regular season record in the NFL for the 2025-26 Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case two or more teams tie with the same record, whichever team is awarded with the First Pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, will resolve to "Yes". If the 2025–26 NFL regular season is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

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