Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Q: Grammys: Best New Artist Winner - Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Current market consensus shows a 1% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #7866·0 on watchlist

Resolves Feb 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

1.3%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.9%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$3,757.14

Liquidity

$4,350.43

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

1.1%

Spread

0.30% (2609bps)

Depth

$4.4k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Feb 1, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Olivia Dean	64.0%	Trade
Leon Thomas	26.0%	Trade
Sombr	3.3%	Trade
Addison Rae	2.8%	Trade
Alex Warren	2.6%	Trade
KATSEYE	1.6%	Trade
The Marías	1.1%	Trade
Lola Young	1.1%	Trade
Megan Moroney	-	Trade
MK.gee	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

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