Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop?
Rank #10400·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
2.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$236.67
Liquidity
$2,938.86
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
3%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.5%
Spread
2.00% (13333bps)
Depth
$2.9k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Times’ Square New Year’s Eve ball drop ball does not begin its scheduled New Year’s Eve countdown descent by January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be broadcast footage of the Times’ Square New Year’s Eve ball drop.
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