Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Q: 2026 NBA Champion - Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Current market consensus shows a 45% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jul 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

45.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 55.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$1,425,882.15

Liquidity

$233,558.37

Deep

Volatility

—

Market Split

89%

Market Microstructure

Mid

45%

Spread

1.00% (225bps)

Depth

$233.6k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jul 1, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Oklahoma City Thunder	44.5%	Trade
Denver Nuggets	8.5%	Trade
San Antonio Spurs	8.3%	Trade
Houston Rockets	6.5%	Trade
New York Knicks	6.5%	Trade
Detroit Pistons	4.0%	Trade
Los Angeles Lakers	3.3%	Trade
Boston Celtics	2.9%	Trade
Cleveland Cavaliers	2.8%	Trade
Golden State Warriors	2.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

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