Part of Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

Will the Party of Generations (SG) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Rank #8764·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
4.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$242.19
Liquidity
$455.60
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.2%
Spread
3.60% (16364bps)
Depth
$456
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
76.0%Trade
the Freedom Movement (GS)
15.0%Trade
Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
7.8%Trade
the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
7.8%Trade
the Slovenian National Party (SNS)
5.5%Trade
The Left (Levica)
5.1%Trade
the Democrats (D)
5.0%Trade
Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP)
4.5%Trade
New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
4.3%Trade
Resni.ca (Res)
4.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Slovenia in mid to late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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