Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 4?

Q: Bitcoin above ___ on January 4? - Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 4?

Current market consensus shows a 98% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto

Current YES Probability

98.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 6.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$7.15

Liquidity

$31.09

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

12%

Market Microstructure

Mid

94%

Spread

8.00% (851bps)

Depth

$31

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 4, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
$78,000	96.4%	Trade
$80,000	95.0%	Trade
$82,000	94.0%	Trade
$84,000	84.0%	Trade
$86,000	71.5%	Trade
$90,000	63.0%	Trade
$92,000	50.5%	Trade
$88,000	50.0%	Trade
$94,000	49.5%	Trade
$96,000	4.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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