Part of Bitcoin price on January 1?

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 1?

Rank #12108·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
4.2%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.4% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$20.00
Liquidity
$9,256.85
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
5%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.6%
Spread
3.20% (12308bps)
Depth
$9.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between $88,000 and $90,000
20.0%Trade
between $86,000 and $88,000
19.0%Trade
between $90,000 and $92,000
17.0%Trade
between $84,000 and $86,000
13.5%Trade
between $92,000 and $94,000
11.5%Trade
between $94,000 and $96,000
6.0%Trade
between $82,000 and $84,000
5.5%Trade
between $80,000 and $82,000
3.9%Trade
between $96,000 and $98,000
3.7%Trade
greater than $98,000
2.9%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

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