Part of Ethereum above ___ on January 1?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 1?

Q: Ethereum above ___ on January 1? - Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 1?

Current market consensus shows a 99% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14638·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

98.7%0.0% (24h)

NO: 2.6%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$120.00

Liquidity

$7,589.03

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

97%

Spread

2.60% (267bps)

Depth

$7.6k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 1, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
$2,400	98.0%	Trade
$2,500	98.0%	Trade
$2,600	97.4%	Trade
$2,700	93.5%	Trade
$2,800	81.0%	Trade
$2,900	64.0%	Trade
$3,000	44.5%	Trade
$3,100	26.5%	Trade
$3,200	14.0%	Trade
$3,300	7.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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