Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 1?

Q: Ethereum price on January 1? - Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 1?

Current market consensus shows a 3% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #12204·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

3.2%0.0% (24h)

NO: 97.9%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$20.00

Liquidity

$8,099.04

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

2.1%

Spread

2.20% (10476bps)

Depth

$8.1k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 1, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
between $2,900 and $3,000	21.5%	Trade
between $3,000 and $3,100	19.5%	Trade
between $2,800 and $2,900	18.0%	Trade
between $3,100 and $3,200	13.0%	Trade
between $2,700 and $2,800	12.5%	Trade
between $3,200 and $3,300	9.0%	Trade
between $2,600 and $2,700	3.4%	Trade
between $3,300 and $3,400	2.9%	Trade
greater than $3,400	2.8%	Trade
between $2,500 and $2,600	2.6%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

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