Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

The 2026 midterm elections for US governorships are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors at the moment the final relevant certified results are reported. A candidate's party will be determined by their official party registration at the time of the respective election; candidates without a party registration will not be counted toward either party for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve based on the certified results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is certified. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all governor elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.