Part of UT-01 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Nov 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
80.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 58.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$75.72
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
84%

Market Microstructure

Mid
42%
Spread
76.00% (18095bps)
Depth
$76
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Nov 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will the Democratic Party
49.0%Trade
Will the Republican Party
42.0%Trade
Will A
-Trade
Will C
-Trade
Will E
-Trade
Will another party
-Trade
Will B
-Trade
Will D
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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