Part of Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Rank #6109·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
7.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,171.02
Liquidity
$6,027.09
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
11%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.5%
Spread
3.00% (5455bps)
Depth
$6.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
make no change to
69.0%Trade
increase
28.5%Trade
decrease
5.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s February meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its February 3, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their February 3, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

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