Part of Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the April decision?

Rank #14915·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Apr 7, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
46.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 74.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3.20
Liquidity
$377.77
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
52%

Market Microstructure

Mid
26%
Spread
40.00% (15385bps)
Depth
$378
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Apr 7, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Bank of New Zealand make no change to
69.5%Trade
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease
26.0%Trade
Bank of New Zealand increase
23.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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