Part of Warren Buffett vs Bill Ackman vs S&P 500: Week of December 15

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance for the week of December 15?

Rank #7674·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 19, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
76.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 52.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
$15.82
Liquidity
$101.69
Thin
Volatility
Confidence (R²)

Market Microstructure

Mid
48%
Spread
57.00% (12000bps)
Depth
$102
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 19, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning December 15, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500. The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680 Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period. The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the 1-week trailing percentage return). Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If multiple indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve according to the Index whose abbreviation comes first, as listed in this market group. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day. Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

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