Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from New York/New Jersey?

Q: Super Bowl - Winning State - Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from New York/New Jersey?

Current market consensus shows a 18% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Feb 10, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

18.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 87.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$13,818.51

Liquidity

$21,374.42

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

26%

Market Microstructure

Mid

13%

Spread

10.00% (7692bps)

Depth

$21.4k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Feb 10, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
be from any Other state	38.0%	Trade
be from California	36.5%	Trade
be from Pennsylvania	27.1%	Trade
be from Texas	21.3%	Trade
be from New York/New Jersey	13.0%	Trade
be from Maryland/DC	9.0%	Trade
be from Florida	5.1%	Trade
be from Ohio	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from. If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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