Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Q: 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion - Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Current market consensus shows a 2% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

2.4%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$73,224.83

Liquidity

$84,645.18

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

2.0%

Spread

0.80% (4000bps)

Depth

$84.6k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 30, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Colorado Avalanche	19.1%	Trade
Tampa Bay Lightning	9.5%	Trade
Carolina Hurricanes	9.0%	Trade
Florida Panthers	9.0%	Trade
Vegas Golden Knights	8.6%	Trade
Edmonton Oilers	7.5%	Trade
Dallas Stars	6.5%	Trade
Washington Capitals	3.7%	Trade
New Jersey Devils	2.9%	Trade
Montreal Canadiens	2.6%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.

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