Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?

Q: NHL: Atlantic Division Winner - Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?

Current market consensus shows a 9% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Apr 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

9.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 92.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$2,298.89

Liquidity

$6,177.60

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

15%

Market Microstructure

Mid

7.5%

Spread

3.00% (4000bps)

Depth

$6.2k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Apr 30, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
the Tampa Bay Lightning	50.5%	Trade
the Florida Panthers	15.3%	Trade
the Montreal Canadiens	12.0%	Trade
the Ottawa Senators	9.6%	Trade
the Detroit Red Wings	8.6%	Trade
the Toronto Maple Leafs	7.5%	Trade
the Boston Bruins	4.3%	Trade
the Buffalo Sabres	2.3%	Trade
any other team	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the listed division during the 2025-26 NHL regular season. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win its division (e.g., mathematical elimination before season end), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.” If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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