Part of "Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Rank #2343·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
38.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 64.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$50,869.01
Liquidity
$5,742.16
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
72%

Market Microstructure

Mid
36%
Spread
4.00% (1111bps)
Depth
$5.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 400m and 440m
36.0%Trade
between 440m and 480m
27.3%Trade
less than 400m
23.0%Trade
between 480m and 520m
8.3%Trade
greater than 520m
6.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%