Part of Number of TSA passengers December 22 - 28?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 22-28 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?

Rank #12925·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 29, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
39.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 65.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$186.22
Liquidity
$825.89
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
70%

Market Microstructure

Mid
35%
Spread
8.00% (2286bps)
Depth
$826
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 29, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000
40.0%Trade
be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000
35.0%Trade
be between 17,500,000 and 17,750,000
20.5%Trade
be between 18,250,000 and 18,500,000
7.5%Trade
be less than 17,500,000
5.5%Trade
be greater than 18,500,000
2.4%Trade
not be reported by January 31
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between December 22 and December 28, 2025 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from December 22, 2025 to December 28, 2025 by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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