Part of Number of TSA passengers December 29 - January 4?
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be greater than 18,500,000?
Resolves Jan 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
96.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 49.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$29.00
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
98%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
51%
Spread
90.00% (17647bps)
Depth
$29
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
be greater than 18,500,000 | 51.0% | Trade |
be between 17,500,000 and 17,750,000 | 50.5% | Trade |
be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000 | 50.5% | Trade |
be between 18,250,000 and 18,500,000 | 50.5% | Trade |
be less than 17,500,000 | 49.5% | Trade |
be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000 | 47.0% | Trade |
not be reported by January 31 | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between December 29, 2025 and January 4, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from December 29, 2025 to January 4, 2026 by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
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