Part of Number of TSA passengers December 31?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 31 be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000?

Rank #13615·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
50.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 71.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$15.00
Liquidity
$169.49
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
58%

Market Microstructure

Mid
29%
Spread
42.00% (14483bps)
Depth
$169
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000
40.5%Trade
be greater than 2,750,000
30.5%Trade
be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000
29.0%Trade
be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000
16.0%Trade
be less than 1,750,000
10.5%Trade
be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000
3.7%Trade
not be reported by January 31
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on December 31, 2025. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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