Part of Sept-Nov Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Will the U.K.'s September–November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥5.4%?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 20, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
32.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 80.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$17.43
Liquidity
$370.68
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
40%

Market Microstructure

Mid
20%
Spread
24.00% (12000bps)
Depth
$371
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 20, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
rate be 5.0
31.0%Trade
rate be ≤4.9
29.0%Trade
rate be 5.2
22.0%Trade
rate be 5.1
21.0%Trade
rate be ≥5.4
20.0%Trade
rate be 5.3
5.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the Labour Force Survey for September to November 2025. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/. The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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