Part of Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Rank #1897·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
2.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,414,737.26
Liquidity
$85,510.04
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
5%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
2.3%
Spread
0.20% (870bps)
Depth
$85.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
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