Part of Peak US National Debt this year?

Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
2.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.4% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$28,383.68
Liquidity
$3,749.37
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
3%

Market Microstructure

Mid
1.6%
Spread
1.60% (10000bps)
Depth
$3.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
debt hit $39
1.6%Trade
debt hit $40
0.4%Trade
debt hit $37
-Trade
debt hit $38
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

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