Part of Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
95.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 7.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$428.07
Liquidity
$3,616.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
14%

Market Microstructure

Mid
93%
Spread
4.00% (430bps)
Depth
$3.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
debt hit $39
97.5%Trade
debt hit $40
93.0%Trade
debt hit $41
57.5%Trade
debt hit $42
18.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

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