Part of Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?

Rank #14647·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
78.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 42.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$5.00
Liquidity
$1,128.59
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
85%

Market Microstructure

Mid
57%
Spread
41.00% (7130bps)
Depth
$1.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
debt hit $39
97.5%Trade
debt hit $40
94.0%Trade
debt hit $41
57.5%Trade
debt hit $42
18.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
+0.0%