Part of 2026 Winter Olympics: Most Medals

Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Rank #12967·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 89.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,540.94
Liquidity
$22,848.88
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
21%

Market Microstructure

Mid
11%
Spread
1.00% (952bps)
Depth
$22.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Sports
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Norway
67.5%Trade
Germany
15.0%Trade
the United States
10.5%Trade
Canada
5.0%Trade
Italy
1.4%Trade
Switzerland
0.8%Trade
France
0.8%Trade
China
0.4%Trade
Austria
0.4%Trade
Japan
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026. In the case of ties, the ordered list for most medals won will use most gold medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most medals won, and Norway wins more gold medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

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