Part of US democratic backsliding

Will the US fall below 7.70 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves May 17, 2029 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
78.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 29.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,795.16
Liquidity
$1,794.39
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
44%

Market Microstructure

Mid
75%
Spread
7.00% (940bps)
Open Interest
3,354 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 17, 2029
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
fall below 7.80
94.0%Trade
fall below 7.75
87.0%Trade
fall below 7.70
78.0%Trade
fall below 7.60
57.0%Trade
fall below 7.50
50.0%Trade
fall below 7.25
45.0%Trade
fall below 7.00
34.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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