Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
Rank #8228·0 on watchlist
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
$129,666.54
Liquidity
$23,170.97
Moderate
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | YES Price | NO Price | Volume (24h) | Liquidity | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | $35.91 | $23,170.97 | Trade |
Resolution Rules & Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Afghanistan between June 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Afghanistan or the United States as of June 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Trending in General
No trending events found.