Part of Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?

Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?

Rank #10369·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.7% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$865,627.44
Liquidity
$19,106.50
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.35%
Spread
0.10% (2857bps)
Depth
$19.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Austria
1.8%Trade
Finland
1.4%Trade
Italy
1.3%Trade
Germany
1.3%Trade
Belgium
1.2%Trade
The Netherlands
0.8%Trade
New Zealand
0.8%Trade
Japan
0.5%Trade
the US
0.4%Trade
Greece
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes the State of Palestine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the U.S. government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%