Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Q: Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Current market consensus shows a 0% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #11409·0 on watchlist

Resolves — ScalarUpdated just now

Current YES Probability

0.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 100.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Last 24h trend

Volume (Period)

—

Total Volume

$4,485.00

Liquidity

$0.00

Thin

Volatility

—

Confidence (R²)

—

Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Markets Across Platforms

Platform	YES Price	NO Price	Volume (24h)	Liquidity	Action

Resolution Rules & Criteria

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio

-%/-%

Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-

Retail Sentiment-

Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes

BearishNeutralBullish

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